Market Trends
What’s the Forecast for Commercial Real Estate?
Since the beginning of 2020, fear of a recession has kept economists and policymakers up at night. But even now, despite high interest rates, consumer spending is up, and many are asking – is this the recession we planned for? At a recent mid-year economic overview hosted by NAIOP Massachusetts, the experts dug into the data.
Read MoreWHAT’S AHEAD IN 2023?
This excerpt was written by NAIOP CEO Tamara Small was originally published in the Boston Business Journal on January 27, 2023.
The year 2023 is expected to be a bumpy one for commercial real estate. The Financial Stability Oversight Council‘s Annual Report recently listed commercial real estate as one of its top market and credit concerns due to rising interest rates, borrowing costs, and uncertain economic conditions. In the Greater Boston market, the “flight to quality” trend where tenants are opting for new, highly amenitized Class A space will continue this year — particularly for lab and office tenants. Sublease space and vacancy rates, already at the highest point in 20 years in Boston, will continue to climb in both the downtown and suburbs.
Read MoreStrategies for a Strong and Resilient Massachusetts
With a new gubernatorial administration comes new opportunities to shape the future of Massachusetts. As we look ahead to 2023, there is little doubt that it will be a difficult year for businesses. The incoming Healey-Driscoll administration must be a partner with the business community to ensure that safeguards are in place so the commonwealth can weather the economic storm. Only together can we work to secure the livelihoods and futures of Massachusetts’ residents and businesses.
Read MoreMayor Wu Announces Proposed Changes to Linkage and Inclusionary Development
On December 15, Boston Mayor Michelle Wu announced a set of proposals to make substantial changes to the City’s Inclusionary Development Policy (IDP) and the commercial Linkage Policy. The announcement also previewed the City’s intent to review proposed changes to the Article 80 permitting process with the goal of implementing clear timelines and predictability for projects.
Read MoreRent Control Is Not the Answer to Our Housing Crisis
Rent Control Is Not the Answer to Our Housing Crisis Decades of Research Shows Its Harm By Tamara Small | This column originally appeared in Banker & Tradesman on September 11, 2022 In July, yet another report was issued highlighting the housing crisis in Massachusetts. The Housing Underproduction Report examined markets throughout the country and…
Read MoreLab, Life Science Space Will Only Drive Our Recovery If Nurtured
The demand for lab and life science space is driving construction all over the commonwealth, and there’s no slowdown on the horizon. Existing vacancies in Boston are at 1.1 percent and the larger market is hovering at 2.5 percent. This lack of supply has caused pricing to skyrocket where other sectors of commercial real estate have stalled. As one example, rents in Watertown hit levels comparable to Kendall Square’s pre-pandemic rents earlier this year. While new construction and lab conversions are up, prices remain high, as demand continues to exceed supply. The majority of new space coming online in 2022 is already committed.
Read MoreOpinion: The Future of Work Report Misses the Mark
But there is a big miss in McKinsey’s report. It’s no secret that office space was hard hit by the pandemic — walking in downtown Boston for the past year has been more akin to walking in a ghost town. But McKinsey’s topline conclusion that the demand for office real estate may fall as workers spend more time in residential areas due to hybrid work, uses employer and employee data from before vaccines were available to everyone, and conflates a hybrid work-schedule with the need for less physical space.
Read MoreOptimism and Recovery Expected for CRE in Second Half of 2021
While certain sectors are leading the way and others are still catching up, the overall projections for the market are optimistic. Just like in 2008, the Greater Boston market’s access to talent, driven by the many top-tier colleges and universities, is our greatest competitive advantage.
Read MoreThe Rubber Meets the Road with Realities of Resilient Reentry
Last year was a pivotal time for commercial real estate across Massachusetts, and while 2021 is showing promise, there is a long way to go before we get back to pre-pandemic market stability and growth. In addition to the vaccine rollout there are a few critical components to the successful and resilient reopening of the economy.
Read MoreMass. Employers Urge Caution on Tax Front
On November 2, NAIOP joined leading business groups and chambers of commerce in presenting a framework to legislative leaders on how to approach the state’s fiscal challenges in order to position the state for long-term growth. The following is accompanying media coverage published on November 5, 2020.
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